中国农业科技导报 ›› 2020, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (6): 6-11.DOI: 10.13304/j.nykjdb.2020.0344

• 农业创新论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对我国生猪产业的影响及对策建议

王祖力   

  1. 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所, 北京 100081
  • 出版日期:2020-06-15 发布日期:2020-06-16
  • 作者简介:王祖力 E-mail:wangzuli@caas.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFD0501105);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(161005202003-14);中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(ASTIP-IAED-2020-01)。

Impact of COVID-19 Epidemic on Chinas Pig Industry #br# and Countermeasures

WANG Zuli   

  1. Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
  • Online:2020-06-15 Published:2020-06-16

摘要: 针对新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情给生猪产业带来的影响,从生猪生产、猪肉消费和生猪价格等方面进行了分析。结果表明,疫情导致饲料及畜产品流通不畅、养殖企业经营成本上升、饲料企业和屠宰企业开工难等问题,阻碍了生猪产能恢复进程,可能影响全年生猪产能恢复目标的实现;猪肉户外消费大幅减少、消费总量降幅明显、但禽肉和禽蛋消费量的下降间接增加了猪肉消费比例;生猪价格总体上涨,区域价差有所拉大。产业发展短期内面临非洲猪瘟疫情防护形势依然严峻和产业扶持政策陷入基层落实困境等问题,据此提出政策建议。

关键词: 新冠肺炎疫情, 生猪生产, 猪肉消费, 生猪价格

Abstract: The impact of COVID-19 epidemic on Chinas pig industry was analyzed from pig production, pork consumption and pig prices. The results showed that the epidemic led to the poor circulation of feed and livestock products, the increase of operating costs of breeding enterprises, the difficulty of starting work of feed enterprises and slaughtering enterprises, etc., which significantly hindered the recovery process of pig production capacity, and affect the realization of the goal of pig production capacity recovery throughout the year; the total consumption and outdoor consumption of pork decreased significantly, but the proportion of pork consumption added indirectly With the consumption of poultry meat and eggs increased, the price of pigs increased in general and the regional price gap widened. In the short term, the pig industry wouldface the problems of the situation that prevention of Africa swine fever was still severe and the support policies fall into the “difficulties of grass-roots implementation”, and so on. Based on this, policy suggestions were put forward.

Key words: COVID-19 epidemic, pig production, pork consumption, pig prices