关键词: 农产品价格波动;价格预期;农产品储备制度;农业信息化

Abstract:

Through analyzing farmers production behavior, this paper studied the causes of price fluctuations of agricultural products. The results showed that as necessities, agricultural products itself was the cause for price fluctuation. The expectation for agricultural products price led the farmers, consumer, speculators to store and close out agricultural products, which also exacerbated the volatile prices of agricultural products. Besides, the unreasonable agricultural products reserve system would aggravate the volatile prices of agricultural products. Only by choosing appropriate time for purchase or heavy selling and considering the effects brought about by these actions on farmers production and social storage or selling, the price fluctuation could be inhibited. The agricultural informatization could improve the accuracy of farmers prediction and farmers understanding, so as to reach the goal of inhibiting price fluctuations of agricultural products.

Key words: price fluctuation of agricultural products, pricing expectation agricultural product reserve system, agricultural informationization