关键词: 草原生态保护补奖政策, 牛肉供给, 局部均衡模型

Abstract:

At present, beef supply and demand in China is in a tight balance. Since 2011, when the government adopted grassland ecological protection subsidy-award policy, important impact has excerted to beef industry and production. Based on partial equilibrium theory, this paper took the data from 2003 to 2012 as basis, constructed a beef partial equilibrium model, including beef production, consumption and trade; designed grassland ecological protection subsidy-award policy scene; simulated a policy impact; and analyzed the influence of this police on future beef supply in China. The research results indicated that the implementation of this policy could carry out pastoral grassland ecological protection, promote transformation and upgrading of production mode in pastoral animal husbandry. All these will certainly strenthen the capacity of beef production and supply in China, and play a positive role in easing the tight balance between beef supply and demand.

Key words: grassland ecological protection subsidy-award policy, beef supply, partial equilibrium model