中国农业科技导报 ›› 2021, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (8): 185-192.DOI: 10.13304/j.nykjdb.2020.0859

• 生物制造 资源生态 • 上一篇    下一篇

湖北黄精潜在分布区预测及生态适宜性研究

张雪可1,张虹1,2,章鹏飞1,秦委1,刘守金1,2*,彭代银1,2,李雷3   

  1. 1.安徽中医药大学药学院, 合肥 230013;  2.安徽省中医院科学院中药资源保护与开发研究所, 合肥 230013;  3.安徽森沣农业综合开发有限公司, 合肥 230011
  • 收稿日期:2020-10-14 接受日期:2021-01-05 出版日期:2021-08-15 发布日期:2021-08-09
  • 通讯作者: 刘守金 E-mail:shjinliu@sina.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC1701606)

Prediction of the Potential Distributions and Ecological Suitability of Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp

ZHANG Xueke1, ZHANG Hong1,2, ZHANG Pengfei1, QIN Wei1, LIU Shoujin1,2*, PENG Daiyin1,2, LI Lei3   

  1. 1.College of Pharmacy, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei 230013, China; 
    2.Institute of Traditional Chinese Medicine Resources Protection and Development, Anhui Academy of Chinese Medicine, Hefei 230013, China;
    3.Anhui Senyu Agricultural Comprehensive Development Co., Ltd., Hefei 230011, China
  • Received:2020-10-14 Accepted:2021-01-05 Online:2021-08-15 Published:2021-08-09
  • About author:张雪可 E-mail:3021913305@qq.com

摘要: 利用湖北黄精219个分布位点信息和55个环境生态因子,采用最大熵模型(Maxent模型)及地理信息系统(ArcGIS),筛选出影响湖北黄精生态适宜性的主导环境因子,并对湖北黄精适宜生长区进行划分。结果显示:Maxent模型预测结果良好(AUC>0.9),说明此研究具有非常高的准确度和可靠性。适宜湖北黄精生长的环境参数为4月降水量54~160 mm,10月降水量94~133 mm,11月平均气温3.2~13.2 ℃,5月降水量119~233 mm,年均温变化范围25.6~33.7 ℃,温度季节性变化标准差71.55~80.17 ℃,土壤类型代码为11(石灰性雏形土)、96(人为肥熟)、104(薄层土),6月降水量112~217 mm,9月降水量100~191 mm。预测湖北黄精的最适宜分布区为陕西、湖北、重庆等地。研究结果可为湖北黄精野生资源开发利用、栽培、质量品质等系列研究提供理论依据。

关键词: 湖北黄精, 生态适宜性, 潜在分布区, Maxent, ArcGIS

Abstract: Based on the information of 219 distribution sites of Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp and 55 environmental ecological factors, the dominant environmental factors affectting the ecological suitability of Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp were screened and the suitable growing areas were divided using the maximum entropy model (Maxent model) and GIS (ArcGIS). The results showed that: Maxent model had high accuracy and reliability (AUC>0.9). So, the suitable ecological parameters of Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp predicted by this model were that: precipitation of 54~160 mm in April; precipitation of 94~133 mm in October; the average temperature in November was 3.2~13.2 ℃; precipitation of 119~233 mm in May; the temperature annual range was 25.6~33.7 ℃; standard deviation of seasonal variations in temperature was 71.55~80.17 ℃; the soiltype codes were 11 (calcaric cambisols), 96(fimic anthrosols), 104(leptosols), precipitation of 112~217 mm in June, precipitation of 100~191 mm in September. It was predicted that the most suitable distribution areas of Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp were Shaanxi, Hubei, Chongqing, etc., which could provide theoretical basis for the cultivation, utilization, and development of Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp.

Key words: Polygonatum zanlanscianense Pamp, ecological suitability, potential distribution, Maxent, ArcGIS

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