Abstract:

This paper analyzed barley production, consumption and trade condition in different uses by using food balance sheet method, based on FAO statistics and data released by National Grain and Oil Information Center. The result showed: Chinese barley supply composed by domestic production and imports, both of them were equal. Chinese barley had high import dependence. Beer barley was accounting for a large proportion in Chinese barley consumption therefore food and feed barley consumption were relatively less. China barley trade was dominated by imports. Barley import was sensitive to the domestic market price, international market price and domestic beer barley demand, Trade environment and policy have small impact on barley imports.

Key words: supply and demand balance, barley demand, consumption demand

摘要：

依据FAO统计数据和国家粮油信息中心发布的数据，运用食物供需平衡表的方法，分析了不同用途的大麦在中国的生产、消费和贸易状况。结果显示：中国大麦供给由国内生产和进口构成，且生产量和进口量相当，大麦进口依存度高；大麦消费以啤酒大麦为主，食用、饲用大麦消费数量相对较小；中国大麦贸易以进口为主，进口量对国内市场价格、国际市场价格和国内啤酒大麦需求量反应敏感，贸易环境和政策对大麦进口的影响较小。

关键词: 供需平衡；大麦需求；消费需求