›› 2015, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 157-164.DOI: 10.13304/j.nykjdb.2015.074

• 技术经济 信息研究 农业政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于因子分析法的新疆现代农业发展水平评价研究

艾洪娟1,2,蒋和平1*   

  1. (1.中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所, 北京 100081|2.新疆农业职业技术学院, 新疆 昌吉 831100)
  • 收稿日期:2015-02-03 修回日期:2015-06-18 出版日期:2015-08-15 发布日期:2015-08-15
  • 通讯作者: 蒋和平,研究员,博士生导师,主要从事农业园区发展与现代农业的研究。E-mail: jiangheping@caas.cn
  • 作者简介:艾洪娟|讲师|博士研究生|主要从事现代农业和农业经济理论研究。E-mail:aihongjuan11@aliyun.com。
  • 基金资助:

    国家社会科学基金项目(14ZDA041),中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(ASTIP-IAED-2015-02),新疆农业职业技术学院院级项目(XJNZYSK2014001)资助。

Studies on Evaluating Modern Agricultural Development Level in Xinjiang based on Factor Analysis Method

AI Hong-juan1,2, JIANG He-ping1*   

  1. (1.Institute of Agriculture Economic and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081|2.Xinjiang Agricultural Vocational and Technical College, Xinjiang Changji 831100, China)
  • Received:2015-02-03 Revised:2015-06-18 Online:2015-08-15 Published:2015-08-15

摘要:

现代农业是农业发展的必然方向,为了客观全面地衡量新疆现代农业的发展水平,认清新疆现代农业发展所处的位置,选取了反映现代农业物质装备水平、经济效益水平、农业产业结构水平、农业科技水平、农村经济发展水平、农村可持续发展水平的18个指标,构建了现代农业发展水平评价体系;采用因素分析法对2004-2013年新疆及西部其他地区的现代农业发展水平评价。测评结果表明近10年新疆现代农业发展水平呈上升趋势,目前在西部省区中处于中上等位置;但新疆农村自然灾害防治率很低、农业科技贡献率不高、劳动力文化素质不高;在分析结果的基础上提出相关建议,为新疆现代农业的发展提供借鉴参考。

关键词: 新疆;现代农业;因子分析;发展水平

Abstract:

Modern agriculture is an inevitable direction for agricultural development. In order to objectively and comprehensively measure the development level of modern agriculture and recognize clearly the position of modern agricultural development in Xinjiang, this paper selected 18 indicators reflecting modern agriculture’s material and equipment level,  economic level,agricultural industry structure level, agricultural science and technology level, rural economy development level, and sustainable rural development level; built up the evaluation system of modern agricultural development level; and adopted factor analysis method to evaluate the level of modern agricultural development in Xinjiang and other western regions from 2004 to 2013. The evaluation results showed that in the recent 10 years, the level of modern agricultural development in Xinjiang was in a rising trend, and in the medium to high position among the western provinces and regions. But the natural disaster preventing and control rate in Xinjiang rural areas was very low, agricultural science and technology contribution rate was not high, cultural quality of labor force was still low. According to the above conclusions, the paper put forward suggestions for development of modern agriculture in Xinjiang.

Key words: Xinjiang, modern agriculture, factor analysis, development level

中图分类号: