Abstract:

With the proceeding of industrialization and urbanization, the development of our agriculture is restricted more and more strongly by resources, environment and ecology. The extensive mode of agriculture difficultly supported sustainable, stable and healthy development of agriculture, and also laid threat on the multiplication of farmers income and the achievement of well\|off society in 2020. This paper empirically analyzed the impact of agricultural development mode on farmers income using two\|stage DEA\|Tobit regression model. It was found that the comprehensive efficiency of agricultural development mode was low and didnt effectively promote the growth of farmers income. With respect to the technical efficiency, low scale efficiency was the main reason. Investment of agricultural science and technology, the urbanization rate, quantity of the primary industry employment and the scale of farm households had significant effect on farmers income. The policy implication is that, Chinese government should innovate principal part of agricultural production and operation under the stable household contract responsibility system, speed up the structural transfer of agricul1tural labor force, and strengthen the financial investment in agricultural science and technology and rural education, to promote the efficiency of agricultural development mode, and increase farmers income.

Key words: agriculture, development mode, efficiency; , farmers income

摘要：

随着工业化、城镇化步伐的加快，我国农业发展受到资源、环境以及生态的约束日益增强。粗放型的农业发展方式已难以支撑我国农业的持续、稳定、健康发展，也威胁着2020年我国农民收入倍增和全面建成小康社会目标的实现。利用DEA\|Tobit二阶段回归模型对我国农业发展方式对农民收入的影响进行了实证分析，结果表明：我国农业发展方式对农民收入影响的综合效率较低，相对于技术效率，规模效率偏低可能是主要原因；另外，农业科技投入、城镇化率、第一产业就业人员的数量以及农户家庭经营规模是影响我国农业发展方式效率的重要因素。其政策含义在于，我国应在稳定家庭联产承包责任制下创新农业生产经营主体，加快农业劳动力结构性转移，加强对农业科技和农村教育等方面的财政投入力度，以此来提高我国农业发展方式效率，增加农民收入。

关键词: 农业；发展方式；效率；农民收入