Abstract: Although the main grain producing areas have made a great contribution to the national food security, their economic developments are far behind the main grain sales areas. This paper concluded that the more grain output, the poorer local government revenue in main grain areas by comparing some economic indicators with the main sales areas and through statistical method and Panel Data model. Based on the empirical results and cause analysis, this paper suggested that the central government should establish dynamic and long-term financial compensation mechanism, promote the development of grain related industry in the main producing areas, and encourage cooperation between the main sales areas and main producing areas.

Key words: main producing areas and main sales areas, grain output, financial revenue, policy proposals, Panel Data model

摘要： 虽然粮食主产区为国家粮食安全做出重要贡献，经济发展水平却落后。通过对主产区与主销区相关指标的对比，利用统计方法及Panel Data模型分析发现主产区存在产粮越多，地方政府财政收入越少的“产粮悖论”。在分析原因的基础上，提出建立动态、长效的财政补偿机制，将粮食产业打造成为主产区致富增收的产业，鼓励主销区和主产区之间的合作等方面的政策建议。

关键词: 主产区和主销区, 粮食产量, 财政收入, 政策建议, Panel Data模型