Abstract:

In recent years, security incidents of agricultural products occurred frequently, which seriously affected peoples daily life. So it is very important to strengthen the inspection on factors affecting the agricultural products quality and safety, and to establish risk early warning system. This paper reviewed the risk early\|warning systems established by domestic and overseas organizations for agricultural products and food quality and safety. The paper mainly introduced the EU risk early\|warning systems, such as RASSF, MedSIys, LEWS, etc. and BPNN, “2\|3 structure” model, Shewhart control charts early\|warning theory, etc.. Simultaneously, taking dairy product as example, the paper also introduced the situation of risk early warning research carried out in China for agricultural products quality and safety, and elaborated the necessity of conducting research in this area.

Key words: risk early-warning, agriculture products, quality and safety, raw milk

摘要：

近年来，农产品安全事件频发，严重影响了人们的日常生活，对农产品质量安全风险因子进行排查，建立农产品质量安全风险预警系统，对于预防农产品质量安全事件尤为重要。综述了国内外主要组织机构所建立的农产品、食品质量安全风险预警系统，主要介绍了欧盟RASFF、MedISys、LEWS等风险预警系统，以及BPNN、“2\|3结构”模型和休哈特控制图预警理论等风险预警模型。同时，以乳产品为例介绍了我国农产品质量安全风险预警研究现状，并对开展奶产品等农产品质量安全风险预警研究的必要性进行阐述。

关键词: 风险预警；农产品；质量安全；生乳