中国农业科技导报 ›› 2016, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (2): 192-199.DOI: 10.13304/j.nykjdb.2015.430

• 技术经济 信息研究 农业政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于协整分析的草食畜牧业竞争力影响因素实证研究 ——以甘肃省为例

陈会萍,张艳荣*,黄炳凯   

  1. 甘肃农业大学经济管理学院, 兰州 73070
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-27 出版日期:2016-04-15 发布日期:2015-09-17
  • 通讯作者: 张艳荣,教授,硕士生导师,主要从事农业经济研究。E-mail:zhangyr@gsau.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:陈会萍|硕士研究生|研究方向为农业经济管理。E-mail:lc91chp@126.com。
  • 基金资助:
    甘肃省社科规划项目(14YB054)资助。

An Empirical Study on Factors Affecting Herbivorous Animal Husbandry Competitiveness based on Co-integration Analysis ——Taking Gansu Province as a Case

CHEN Hui-ping, ZHANG Yan-rong*, HUANG Bing-kai   

  1. Institute of Economic Management, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 73070, China
  • Received:2015-07-27 Online:2016-04-15 Published:2015-09-17

摘要: 草食畜牧业在甘肃省经济发展中起着举足轻重的作用。在各级政府的大力扶持下,甘肃省草食畜牧业竞争力不断增强。用区位 商分析方法判断甘肃省草食畜牧业所处的地位,结果显示甘肃省的草食畜牧业竞争力较弱,在六大牧区中排名靠后。鉴于甘肃 省草食畜牧业的发展状况及目前所处的地位,通过竞争实力、竞争潜力、竞争环境构建草食畜牧业竞争力影响因素的指标体系 ,利用协整分析方法来研究甘肃省草食畜牧业竞争力主要的影响因素,研究结果表明:年末牧业性生产固定资产原值、R&D人员 、R&D经费支出、互联网宽带接入用户、牛奶产量、绵羊毛山羊毛羊绒的产量、牧业产值、人均GDP对草食畜牧业竞争力的影响 作用最大;并在实证研究的基础上,依据主要的影响因素,提出相关的参考建议,促进草食畜牧业竞争力提升。

关键词: 草食畜牧业, 竞争力, 影响因素, 协整分析

Abstract: Herbivorous animal husbandry plays an important role in economic development of Gansu Province. With the support of governments at all levels, herbivorous animal husbandry competitiveness of Gansu Province is constantly enhanced. This paper analyzed the status of herbivorous animal husbandry of Gansu Province by the location quotient analysis method. The results showed that herbivorous animal husbandry competitiveness of Gansu Province was weak, ranking after the 6 major pastoral areas. According to the present development status of herbivorous animal husbandry in Gansu Province, this paper studied the main factors influencing herbivorous animal husbandry competitiveness by co-integration analysis and the index system, including competitive strength, competitive potential and competitive environment. The results showed that the following factors had the most effect on the competitiveness: the original value of fixed assets at each year end of animal husbandry production, R & D personnel, R & D expenditures, internet users of broadband access, milk yield, mountain sheep wool cashmere wool yield, animal husbandry output value, per capita GDP; On the basis of empirical study about the main influencing factors, this paper puts forward several suggestions to strengthen the competitiveness of herbivorous animal husbandry in Gansu Province.

Key words: herbivorous animal husbandry, competitiveness, affecting factor, co-integration analysis